The Limits Of ‘NewFronts’
April 30, 2012 – 12:03 am
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The Limits Of ‘NewFronts'
This past week's NewFront events – a bid to connect online video advertising to the roughly $10 billion TV upfront marketplace – generated a lot of attention (see AdExchanger coverage here and here), but it's worth wondering about the substance of the extravaganzas held by Publicis Groupe's Digitas, Hulu, AOL, Yahoo and Microsoft.
In the view of Pivotal Research Group analyst Brian Wieser, the shows put on by the above entities won't add up to much in terms of moving significant amounts of ad budgets to online video from TV.
For one thing, as many media buyers have told me repeatedly, online video is plagued by a lack of premium inventory. Still, the original web video that was promoted at the various NewFront presentations this week surely is a start in terms of addressing that problem.
But that's what it is – just a start. After all, as eMarketer has noted, Ad spending on online video totaled just $2.02 billion – still, it has experienced an impressive rise of 55 percent from 2010 – while TV advertising in the U.S. hit $72 billion last year, according to Nielsen figures released this past week.
Wieser also points out that actual viewing of online video, while growing vastly, is still small, as consumers spend only a small percentage of their time with video-based properties. "While publishers are finding ways to expand inventory (for example, by placing pre-roll video ads prior to online games or by adding to ad loads), the total volume available for sale is limited, and very little of it would be deemed to be of sufficient value that it must be locked up in advance," Wieser writes in an analyst note (pdf-only, not available online).
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